What is business as usual scenario?

A scenario for future patterns of activity which assumes that there will be no significant change in people’s attitudes and priorities, or no major changes in technology, economics, or policies, so that normal circumstances can be expected to continue unchanged.

What is BAU climate change?

2014 Edition BAU Emissions Projection An emission projection estimates future emissions based on current emissions, expected regulatory implementation, and other technological, social, economic, and behavioral patterns.

What does business as usual mean in climate change?

Sometimes called the “business as usual” scenario, it represents a worst case where countries continue to burn oil, gas and coal unabated — in contrast with a world where emissions have been dramatically reduced, and global warming is more moderate.

What is the difference between BAU and project?

BAU (Business As Usual) is the work carried out by teams or individuals as part of their standard daily work practice whereas Projects are unique and temporary (definitive beginning and ending).

Which RCP is most likely?

RCP 4.5 is more likely than not to result in global temperature rise between 2 degrees C, and 3 degrees C, by 2100 with a mean sea level rise 35% higher than that of RCP 2.6. Many plant and animal species will be unable to adapt to the effects of RCP 4.5 and higher RCPs.

What is BAU GHG?

2021 Climate Action Plan Greenhouse Gas. (GHG) Emissions Business as Usual (BAU) Methodology. This document presents the planned methodology for developing business as usual (BAU) greenhouse gas (GHG) emission projections for the 2021 Pennsylvania Climate Action Plan (CAP).

What is Bau?

business as usual: used for referring to a situation where everything is happening as normal, especially after a period when it was not. This is most certainly not BAU. Synonyms and related words. Written abbreviations.

Which IPCC scenario is business as usual?

Under the IPCC Scenario A (Business-as-Usual) emissions, an average rate of global mean sea-level rise of about 6 cm per decade over the next century (with an uncertainty range of 3—10 cm per decade).

What is another way to say business as usual?

Business-as-usual synonyms In this page you can discover 5 synonyms, antonyms, idiomatic expressions, and related words for business-as-usual, like: foreseeable, unilateralist, gradualist, go-it-alone and not right.

What is BAU and non BAU?

The meaning of BAU. According to Wikipedia “Business as usual (BAU) – the normal execution of standard functional operations within an organization – forms a possible contrast to projects or programs which might introduce change.

What is the difference between projects and business as usual?

A project introduces a new product or a change in product whereas business as usual seeks to reproduce the same item. For example, a project would produce a new IT system and roll it out in the business whereas business as usual would be operating that IT system day in day out.

What does RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 refer to?

RCP 4.5 future climate projection produces decreases of air temperature and increases of precipitation while RCP 8.5 tends to reduce the precipitation and to increase the temperature.