How are public polls listed on the FiveThirtyEight polls page?

Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown.

How are state polling averages adjusted for national trends?

State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

What is a partisan poll?

Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.

When are the numbers updated for the candidate average?

These numbers are updated when new polls become available. The candidate average number is based on national polls released within the previous two months.

How is the number of electoral votes determined in the US?

United States Electoral College Votes by State. The number of electors a state receives is determined by the combined number of the state’s members of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate. The Twenty-third Amendment, adopted in 1961, provided electoral college representation for Washington, D.C.

How are Maine’s electoral votes distributed?

Maine distributes its electoral votes proportionally, with two at-large electors representing the statewide winning presidential and vice presidential candidates and one elector each representing the winners from its two Congressional districts.

How many electors do you need to win a presidential election?

To that number, we add the 100 electors who correspond to Senators — two per state for each of the 50 states — and add three more for Washington D.C., which is treated as a state within the Electoral College and thus given three electors of its own. That accounts for all 538 electors, of which any candidate needs 270 in order to get elected.